NFL betting trends: Week 15 point spreads; 2020 MVP race update

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The 2020 NFL season has gone remarkably smooth considering it has been played during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic that has been wrecking havoc throughout the country.

There are now only three weeks left in the regular season, which means there are only three full slates remaining for NFL bettors. Here is a look at the betting trends heading into Week 15.

“All eyes this Sunday will be on the Mercedes-Benz Superdome with the Chiefs visiting the Saints. We’ve seen money on both sides but at kickoff I expect that the book will need the Saints to cover”

– Jason Scott, VP Trading for BetMGM.

Week 15 NFL data courtesy of BetMGM.

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Most bet games (total ticket count):

  1. Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints
  2. New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
  3. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals
  4. Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Football Team
  5. Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts

Highest ticket %:

  1. Kansas City Chiefs -3 (at Saints) 
  2. Miami Dolphins -2.5 (vs. Patriots)
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 (at Falcons)
  4. Indianapolis Colts -7.5 (vs. Texans)
  5. Seattle Seahawks -6 (at Washington)

Highest handle %:

  1. Kansas City Chiefs -3 (at Saints)
  2. Arizona Cardinals -6.5 (vs. Eagles)
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 (at Falcons)
  4. Miami Dolphins -2.5 (vs. Patriots)
  5. Seattle Seahawks -6 (at Washington)

Biggest liabilities for the book:

  1. Kansas City Chiefs
  2. Miami Dolphins
  3. Seattle Seahawks

Highest public-backed teams:

  1. Kansas City Chiefs
  2. Miami Dolphins
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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NFL MVP race update:

“Patrick Mahomes is currently bettors favorite to win the NFL MVP and represents decent liability for BetMGM. Derrick Henry has received the most bets to win the award but it’s hard to imagine a scenario where he surpasses Mahomes.” Jason Scott, VP Trading, BetMGM

– Jason Scott, VP Trading, BetMGM

Highest Ticket %:

  1. Derrick Henry 34%
  2. Patrick Mahomes 20%
  3. Aaron Rodgers 7%
  4. Ben Roethlisberger 6%
  5. Russell Wilson 5%

Highest Handle %:

  1. Patrick Mahomes 27%
  2. Derrick Henry 20%
  3. Russell Wilson 15%
  4. Aaron Rodgers 6%
  5. Ben Roethlisberger 4%

Line Movement:

  • Patrick Mahomes
    • Preseason: +400
    • Highest odds during season: +750
    • Current: -250
  • Derrick Henry
    • Preseason: +5000
    • Current: +5000
  • Aaron Rodgers
    • Preseason: +2500
    • Highest odds during season: consistently declined
    • Current: +200
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